The
world needs some kind of insurance plan to help countries defend
against the next pandemic and prevent disasters like the Ebola epidemic
in West Africa, World Bank President Jim Yong Kim said Tuesday.
Ebola just passed the
22,000 mark in Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea, the World Health
Organization said earlier on Tuesday. And 8,800 people have died of the
virus.
International efforts to fight the virus have made some inroads — just a handful
of confirmed cases have been reported over the past week in Liberia,
for instance. But spread remains bad in Sierra Leone, with more than 100
confirmed cases in the past week, and 20 new confirmed cases in Guinea.
And it's destroying economies.
WHO has admitted it didn't move fast enough
to raise the alarm about Ebola, which started spreading noticeably in
April. But public health experts also point out that member countries
have not funded WHO properly, and the short-staffed agency is still
struggling to keep up.
"We must learn the lessons from the Ebola outbreak because there is no doubt we will be faced with other pandemics in the years to come."
"We need to make sure that we get to zero cases in this Ebola outbreak," Kim said in a speech at Georgetown University.
"At the same time, we
need to prepare for future pandemics that could become far more deadly
and infectious than what we have seen so far with Ebola. We must learn
the lessons from the Ebola outbreak because there is no doubt we will be
faced with other pandemics in the years to come."
Public health experts
say the probability of a pandemic —a worldwide epidemic of a new and
deadly disease — is 100 percent. Often it's a new strain of influenza,
like the 2009 H1N1 swine flu, but it could be a virus such as SARS,
which infected 8,000 people in 2003 before it was stopped.
"The next epidemic could
be catastrophic," Kim said. "Insurance company executives view
pandemics as their greatest long-term business risk." That's ahead of
natural catastrophes such as earthquakes.
WHO, the United Nations,
re-insurance companies and academic experts have been putting together
some ideas, Kim said. They may involve a combination of bonds and
insurance plans to come up with a plan similar to homeowner's insurance.
"This could work like
insurance policies that people understand, like fire insurance," he
said. "The more that you are prepared for a fire, such as having several
smoke detectors in your house, the lower the premium you pay."
Such a scheme would have
to include an early warning system in every country. Experts all agree
that had word gotten out earlier about Ebola's initial spread in Guinea,
it could have been contained, just as it has been every time in other
parts of Africa.
"Insurance company executives view pandemics as their greatest long-term business risk."
There would have to be financing of a rapid response, plans to make more vaccines available and better networks to distribute vaccines, drugs and medical supplies. "Mobilizing funds after the emergency is not effective," Kim pointed out.
"The more that
countries, multi-lateral institutions, corporations and donors work
together to prepare for future pandemics — by building stronger health
systems, improved surveillance and chains of supply and transportation,
and fast-acting medical response teams — the lower the premium as well,"
Kim said.
"That would benefit
donors and others who would pay the premium, but the greatest benefit
would be that market mechanisms would help us to push improvements in
our preparedness for epidemics."
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